The 2023 real estate market in Celina, Texas experienced notable activity, with 1,266 homes sold despite the headwinds of an average 7% mortgage rate. This analysis delves into key trends, pricing shifts, and standout properties, providing an insightful overview of the market’s evolving dynamics.

Key Takeaways and Trends from the 2023 Real Estate Market in Celina, TX

Pricing Range
Homes sold ranged from $100,000 to $5,000,000, showcasing diverse property options. The upper-tier market benefited from unique luxury features, while the lower-tier provided opportunities for first-time buyers.

Market Efficiency
The average close price to listing price ratio of 97.61% indicates that sellers adjusted their expectations to align with buyer affordability in a high-rate environment.

Unique Outliers
The most expensive property sold was a $5,000,000 luxury barndominium on 53 acres, highlighting the value of rare features like large tracts of land and custom amenities.

Mortgage Rate Impact
An average 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 7% introduced affordability challenges for buyers. This led to creative solutions like seller financing, assumable mortgages, and rate buy-downs to keep transactions flowing. Builders also leveraged incentives to draw buyers to new construction homes.

Celina, TX Real Estate and Homes For Sale - 2023 Single-Family Residential Housing Analysis

Total Homes Closed

A total of 1,266 homes closed in 2023, a 39.4% increase from the prior year. Of these, new construction homes contributed significantly, with 720 units sold. Additionally, 79 homes with pools were sold, reflecting steady demand for properties with premium amenities.

Property Pricing Insights

  • Minimum Price: $100,000
  • Maximum Price: $5,000,000
  • Average Price: $663,229
  • Median Price: $620,298

Although the average price slightly decreased compared to the previous year, this reflects a broader range of transactions and adjustments for affordability among buyers.

Property Size and Features

  • Bedrooms: Most homes had 4 bedrooms on average.
  • Bathrooms: Typically, 3 bathrooms were included, offering practical layouts for families.
  • Square Footage: The average home was 2,909 square feet, with a median size of 2,902 square feet.
  • Lot Size: Properties averaged 0.365 acres, with premium homes offering significantly larger lots, like the 53-acre luxury sale.

Market Dynamics

  • Days on Market (DOM): Homes stayed on the market for an average of 55 days, highlighting slower absorption rates compared to faster-moving markets in prior years.
  • Average ClsPr/LstPr (Close Price to Listing Price): 97.61%, showing slight price negotiation in transactions.
  • Average ClsPr/OLP (Close Price to Original Listing Price): 102.86%, suggesting some homes required competitive adjustments to capture buyer interest.
  • Average Price per SqFt: $228.62, demonstrating robust pricing for space efficiency.

Insights into the Most Expensive Celina, TX Property Sold in 2023

A custom luxury barndominium valued at $5,000,000 highlighted the highest end of the market. This expansive 53-acre property offered unique features that set it apart, including a stocked lake, RV storage, and extensive land improvements. Its sale underscores the premium placed on specialized amenities in this price bracket.

  • Property Details
  • Price: $5,000,000
  • Beds: 4
  • Baths: 4 (3 full, 1 half)
  • Square Feet: 4,250
  • Price per SqFt: $1,176.47
  • Lot Size: 53.8 acres
  • DOM: 75 days
  • ClsPr/LstPr Ratio: 92.59%
  • ClsPr/OLP Ratio: 92.59%
  • Year Built: 2021

This property highlighted demand for high-value land and unique builds. However, its longer time on the market and lower close price ratio illustrate how niche such opportunities are in a high-rate environment, where most buyers prioritize affordability over extras.

Economic context

Historical Economic Data for Dallas-Fort Worth, 2023

Average Electricity Costs in Dallas-Fort Worth in 2023

Electricity prices dropped slightly to $0.17 per kilowatt-hour in 2023, compared to $0.18 in 2022. While this small decrease provided some relief, energy-efficient homes remained a top priority for homebuyers. Such features offered long-term cost savings that appealed to budget-conscious households.

Average Price for Regular Gasoline in Texas in 2023

Gas prices fell to $3.06 per gallon in 2023, down from $3.47 the previous year. This decline could have renewed interest in suburban properties by making commutes more affordable. homebuyers may have placed higher importance on access to amenities and infrastructure to balance the potential for rising future gas prices.

Average 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate in 2023

Mortgage rates increased to 7.00% in 2023, up sharply from 5.53% the prior year. This jump added significant pressure to affordability and homebuyers’ decision-making. Pre-approvals through local mortgage loan originators became essential in helping buyers secure competitive rates and stay within budget during challenging conditions.

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Overview of Differences Between the 2023 and 2022 Real Estate Markets in Celina, Texas

Total Homes Sold

2022: 908
2023: 1,266

Homes sold increased by 39.4%. The surge reflects growing demand, partly driven by the availability of more new construction homes.

Number of Homes with Pools

2022: 77
2023: 79

Despite broader market adjustments, a modest 2.6% increase in homes with pools suggests steady interest in premium features.

Number of New Construction Homes

2022: 309
2023: 720

New construction homes saw a significant 133% increase, underscoring builder strategies to attract buyers with new inventory and incentives.

Average Sales Price

2022: $687,117
2023: $663,229

The average sales price decreased by 3.5%, indicating that buyers pushed back on pricing amid higher mortgage rates.

Average Days on Market (DOM)

2022: 27 days
2023: 55 days

Homes spent 104% more time on the market, highlighting slower market dynamics as buyers adjusted to higher costs.

Average Price per Square Foot

2022: $241.69
2023: $228.62

The average price per square foot declined by 5.4%, reflecting moderated pricing trends in response to affordability constraints.

Most Expensive Property Sold

2022: $7,000,000
2023: $5,000,000

The most expensive property sold in 2023 was 28.6% lower in value compared to 2022. The 2022 sale was dominated by the value of 37 acres of prime land, while the 2023 sale reflected luxury features across a smaller estate.

Summary of Real Estate Market Analysis for Celina, TX in 2023

The 2023 real estate market in Celina, Texas stood out as a year of adaptation and resilience. With higher mortgage rates averaging 7%, both buyers and sellers had to adjust their approaches. Creative strategies such as builder incentives, seller concessions, rate buy-downs, and seller financing played a critical role in keeping the market active. Despite these challenges, the guidance of experienced realtors ensured smooth transactions, highlighting the importance of informed decision-making in a competitive market.

Homebuyers and First-Time Homebuyers Perspective

For homebuyers, and especially first-time homebuyers, the 2023 market demanded preparation and adaptability. Securing mortgage pre-approval became more critical than ever, allowing buyers to understand their financial limits in a high-rate environment. Realtors played a significant role in navigating complex conditions, offering expert advice on market trends and guiding buyers toward favorable opportunities, including homes with seller financing or rate reductions. First-time buyers particularly benefited from realtors’ insights, which empowered them to make confident purchasing decisions despite the hurdles posed by higher borrowing costs.

Home-Sellers Perspective

Home sellers faced unique challenges in 2023, as higher mortgage rates reduced buyer affordability, often slowing transaction timelines. Many sellers leaned heavily on their realtors for effective marketing strategies and pricing advice. Realtors proved invaluable in showcasing properties to stand out in a crowded market and negotiating terms like closing concessions or assumable mortgages to attract buyers. By partnering with real estate experts, sellers were able to achieve positive outcomes despite the market’s shifting dynamics.

Final Thoughts

The 2023 real estate market in Celina, TX underscored the importance of being well-informed and prepared. Both buyers and sellers benefited from the guidance of experienced realtors who provided the knowledge required to understand market trends and craft tailored strategies. High mortgage rates brought new challenges, but also new solutions—including builder incentives, seller concessions, and creative financing options—that underscored the market’s ability to adapt. Ultimately, the collaboration between buyers, sellers, and skilled realtors allowed for successful outcomes, turning a challenging year into a period of opportunity for those ready to seize it.

Why Historical Statistical Data Matters in the Celina, Texas Real Estate Market

Did you know that Appraisers and Realtors rely on historical statistical data to determine a property’s current value?

The information presented above is just a small glimpse into the wealth of essential data available to help both homebuyers and sellers set realistic expectations and gain an initial understanding of the real estate market in Celina, Texas. Real estate transactions are intricate, and what you see here is merely a sample of the many factors at play in each deal in this city.

Beyond these insights, a comprehensive analysis is available that focuses on specific aspects like zip codes, neighborhoods, and homes within certain school districts in Celina. This granular data dives deeper into market trends, allowing for a precise understanding of local dynamics. Additionally, historical data plays a critical role in crafting informed strategies, providing the context needed to make confident decisions that align with your goals.

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Meet Your Trusted Realtor and Mortgage Expert in Celina, Texas!

Greetings! I’m Oleg Sedletsky, and I’m excited to introduce myself as your go-to full-time licensed Texas REALTOR® and Mortgage Loan Originator.

I proudly represent JPAR® – Real Estate Brokerage as a REALTOR® and Utopia Mortgage LLC as a Mortgage Loan Originator! My designations and certifications reflect my dedication to helping you achieve your real estate goals in CELINA, TX and other locations in the vibrant Dallas-Fort Worth area!

Whether you’re a homebuyer or a home seller, the information on this page highlights just a fraction of what’s important to know about the Celina, TX real estate market. Data like this is key to understanding trends, making informed decisions, and achieving your real estate goals.

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This market analysis is intended solely for educational purposes. This market analysis is based on data sourced from NTREIS, Inc. This analysis is exclusively focused on single-family homes and does not account for other property types. The total number of real estate transactions within the specified period and location may vary.  Data accuracy cannot be guaranteed due to potential input errors made by NTREIS users. This market analysis does not account for all new construction home sales. If you need detailed information about recorded property sales or other public records, please contact the appropriate city or county office.